A Harris presidency would signal continuity for transatlantic relations. But Europeans should not think they can turn back the clock to the pre-Trump era. This November Americans face a choice between electing Kamala Harris and Donald Trump as president. A few months ago, when President Biden was still the Democratic candidate, the race seemed to be Trump’s to lose, as Biden stumbled from gaffe to gaffe. But Biden’s withdrawal from the race and the selection of his vice president to replace him has energised the Democratic Party. Polling analysis indicates that Trump and Harris have roughly equal chances of winning the presidency, making the race very uncertain. The outcome will depend on a few swing states, especially in America’s mid-West.
Authors: Ian Bond, Deputy Director; Luigi Scazzieri, Senior Research Fellow, CER.
This article is available on the CER website.