Future of European Military Assistance to Ukraine at a Critical Juncture

Adopting short-term military assistance packages reduces their predictability for the defence industry and hampers Ukrainian forces on the frontline. A Ukraine victory will require guarantees of significant increases in equipment and ammunition supplies with a mid-term perspective, as well as a new agreement on the shape of security in Europe in the long-term. The EU will continue to support Ukraine, but deterring Russia will require cooperation with NATO allies.